After 24 hours and using the previous parameters, the shaded area now is forecast to include the entire Luzon island and Samar; it is affecting Samar by this writing. Using NMFC/JTWC (mtsat 2009-10-01 05:30), we can see the extent of Typhoon Parma (locally named Pepeng); the associated clouds are now covering the entire country, especially the eastern sector. The eye of storm is located about 460 km east of Samar island, moving in the general direction of Northern Luzon (image on right).
The latest image (left) demonstrates supertyphoon Parma (2009-10-01) with maximun winds of 220 kph, gusts reaching 260 kph, and moving NW at 22 kph (http://www.wunderground.com). It is category 4 (up to 250 kph) until it makes landfall in Northern Luzon on Saturday. Superimposed is the satellite image showing the extent of the typhoon.
Let us hope for a non-destructive outcome, or better still, for it to change course and dissipate away from land.
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